深刻的教誨老師的淚優秀作文

深刻的教誨老師的淚優秀作文

　　The following appeared in a letter from a firm providing investment advice for a client.

　　"Most homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last heating season that region experienced 90 days with below-normal temperatures, and climate forecasters predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes are being built in the region in response to recent population growth. Because of these trends, we predict an increased demand for heating oil and recommend investment in Consolidated Industries, one of whose major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil."

　　Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.

　　解析

　　Step One

　　文章共4句話，各自的核心意思是：

　　1、美國東北部大多數家庭用燃油取暖;

　　2、上個取暖季經歷了90天低于常溫的氣候，以及未來將會持續若干年;

　　3、此外，因為人口增長，許多新的房屋正在被建造;

　　4、所以，我們預測燃油需求會增加以及投資C公司，它的業務之一是銷售家庭用燃油。

　　Step Two

　　文章的結構是：

　　1、是背景;

　　2、3推導出4;

　　Step Three

　　尋找邏輯錯誤

　　a. 數據問題：90天不一定長;

　　b. 論據含糊：專家預測;

　　c. 時間外推：許多新房屋也會用燃油取暖;

　　d. 利潤問題：C公司會很好。

　　難點總結

　　本題難點在于：從字面上找到的邏輯錯誤沒法用常規的方式攻擊，需要轉變思路。然而萬變不離其宗，明白邏輯錯誤的原理，合適很容易解決問題的。

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